Capros P., L. Mantzos, D. Petrellis, V. Panos and K. Delkis (1999), "European Union, Energy Outlook to 2020", special issue of "Energy in Europe", European Commission-Directorate General for Energy, November 1999. Office for official publications of the European Communities, 1999, Luxembourg, ISBN 92-828-7533-4.
Prepared by: Prof. P. Capros, Dr. L. Mantzos, D. Petrellis, V. Panos and K. Delkis (E3M-Lab, National Technical University of Athens)
In co-operation with: E.L. Vouyoukas (volume editor), J-F. Guilmot (ESAP, Belgium), P. Criqui, D. Finon (IEPE, France)
Supported by: Unit for Analysis and Forecasts - DG XVII, Brussels
The overall objective of the European Union energy policy is to help ensure security of energy supplies for European citizens and business at competitive prices and in an environmentally compatible way. For over two decades, energy system analysis at the European Commission orchestrated by the Unit for Analysis and Forecasts of the Directorate General for Energy (in co-operation with other DGs, in particular DG-XII) has considerable contributed to the EU energy policy process by proposing quantified energy scenarios, indicators and economic evaluations).
This volume provides energy system analysis information as prepared by using energy system models mainly at the E3M-Laboratory of National Technical University of Athens. Although discussed with the officers of the Unit for Analysis and Forecasts of the Commission, the views expressed do not engage the Commission and are not necessarily shared with this Unit. The responsibility rests solely with the authors.
The purpose of this volume is to present a consistent energy outlook for the EU for the period to 2020. Since predicting the future accurately is not possible, every effort has been made to present the underlying assumptions and causal mechanisms that will drive the likely developments of specific fuels, sectors, technologies and countries. It is hoped that this approach will contribute to a better understanding of the EU energy system and, consequently, will enhance the preparedness of policy makers to face the unavoidable 'surprise' of the next 25 years.
To some extent, "EU Energy Outlook" aims at updating the study "European Energy to 2020", which was published in 1996. Much of the analysis presented in that study is still relevant and valid and no effort have been made to repeat it here. For example, no effort has been made to reconstruct different scenarios based on different geopolitical and socio-economic factors.
